Blue Jays vs. Yankees Prediction & Betting Preview
Game Overview
Matchup: Toronto Blue Jays at New York Yankees, Tuesday, July 22, at 7:07 p.m. ET, hosted at Rogers Centre.
Spread/Lines:
Moneyline: Blue Jays –130 (favored), Yankees +109 (underdogs)
Run Line: Blue Jays favored by 1.5 runs
Total: Set at 9 runs
Score Prediction & Probabilities
Predicted score: Blue Jays 6, Yankees 5 – a close game expected with total runs going over 9/
Implied win chance: Blue Jays ~56%, Yankees ~48% (per moneyline)
Probable Starters
Toronto: Max Scherzer – 1–0, 4.70 ERA over five starts; one quality outing, modest performance overall.
New York: Cam Schlittler – 1–0, 5.06 ERA in his only appearance (5⅓ IP, 3 ER)
Recent Team Form & Betting Trends
Blue Jays:
Favored 44 times, winning 61% of those games
20–9 record when moneyline ≤–130 (69% win rate)
Yankees:
Underdogs in 12 games this season, with a 33–46% win rate
Won 2 out of 5 games when +109 or longer on moneyline
Blue Jays lineup:
Vladdy Guerrero Jr. (.279 AVG, 13 HR), George Springer (.276), Bo Bichette (.282), Alejandro Kirk (.309)
Yankees lineup:
Aaron Judge (.349/.456/.719, 36 HR), Cody Bellinger (.280), Paul Goldschmidt (.289)
Bottom Line
Tight, high-scoring clash expected between division rivals. Toronto enters as the moneyline favorite, but New York’s offense, headlined by Aaron Judge, could keep them competitive. Betting trends lean slightly toward the Jays and plays over 9 runs.